Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.426356 3.634492 3.855750 4.109692 4.394645 4.706391 5.075821
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.095969 3.366898 3.668288 4.032151 4.464768 4.969714 5.614673
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.826770 3.132213 3.484005 3.926135 4.477632 5.158652 6.090865
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.625325 2.955685 3.347758 3.858477 4.524402 5.392731 6.668496
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.464328 2.813389 3.238831 3.811431 4.589951 5.661032 7.355286
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.370293 2.745212 3.215051 3.869980 4.802808 6.168723 8.536530
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.206294 2.577168 3.049752 3.722844 4.710130 6.216292 8.999775
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.124650 2.509350 3.010343 3.744664 4.865957 6.679226 10.370861
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.043748 2.436946 2.958836 3.743619 4.987082 7.113633 11.899496
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.938383 2.325662 2.846121 3.642182 4.935649 7.236820 12.822802
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.837325 2.215040 2.727599 3.522195 4.839675 7.261363 13.541296
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.798042 2.186655 2.723428 3.576555 5.046355 7.926958 16.522358
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.763996 2.171064 2.747312 3.696174 5.425794 9.173689 23.611233
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.686102 2.089275 2.668070 3.641009 5.475985 9.717183 29.578784
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.608421 2.003847 2.577978 3.559527 5.464351 10.123279 36.759651
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.544454 1.935105 2.509102 3.508297 5.508787 10.728655 49.984125
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.489369 1.876601 2.452370 3.473094 5.583701 11.492645 76.854981
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.457599 1.850853 2.445294 3.526619 5.870022 13.190899 238.741222
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.392257 1.771762 2.348121 3.404369 5.725358 13.228167 443.675137
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.360105 1.741343 2.327906 3.425443 5.934507 14.922853 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.326397 1.706897 2.298841 3.426540 6.096870 16.654142 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.279245 1.649815 2.229053 3.341163 6.015756 17.087106 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.232026 1.590992 2.153685 3.239097 5.874186 17.099635 NaN